Democratic Candidates in Danger of Losing Home States

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A News 9-News On 6 poll conducted from Feb. 17-21 had Biden ahead with 21.2 percent, with Bloomberg next at 19.8 percent. In both polls, Warren sat in single digits.

David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, said Warren has some reason for concerns in Massachusetts, which borders Vermont, Sanders’ own home state. He said that many of those voting on Tuesday are probably progressives.

Klobuchar looks like she’s not quite out of the woods but she’s leading” in Minnesota polls, he said. “Warren’s situation is vastly different. Part of the reason for that is because progressives are a larger share of the Massachusetts vote and Bernie Sanders is the front-runner.”

Sanders will also fight for primary delegates in his own home state, though the race in Vermont isn’t supposed to be close. FiveThirtyEight this week predicted his odds of winning his home state at 99 percent.

A poll this month by Braun Research and Vermont Public Radio indicated Sanders at 51 percent, former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 13 percent, and the rest of the candidates less than 10 percent.