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And More September 21, 2022 2 mins read

2-year Treasury Yield Blasts Above 4.1%, Highest Level Since 2007

And More ı By Rochdi Rais

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Stock Market News

The yield on the 2-year Treasury note blasted above 4.1% after the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates by an additional 0.75 percentage point, and soared to its highest level since 2007.

The policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury added 15 basis points to 4.113%, to a level not seen since October 2007, when it hit a high of 4.138%. Meanwhile, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury climbed to a high of 3.64%, its highest level since February 2011.

Some investors believe the significant inversion, with short-term rates higher than long-term rates, points to the risk of a recession.

Yields and prices move in opposite directions, and 1 basis point is equivalent to 0.01%.

The Fed raised rates by 75 basis points, or 0.75 percentage point, at its September meeting and signaled that it would keep hiking rates until the funds level hits a “terminal rate,” or an end level, of 4.6% next year.

The central bank plans to continue the aggressive rate hikes against inflation this year, raising rates to 4.4% in 2022, according to its median forecast released on Wednesday. With only two policy meetings left in the calendar year, chances are the central bank could conduct another 75-basis-point rate hike before the year-end.

Investors could turn to Treasurys as a source of safety, Michael Schumacher, head of macro strategy at Wells Fargo Securities, told CNBC’s “Fast Money.”

For relative safety, “I would look at the front-end of the U.S. Treasury curve. You’ve got the 2-year treasury yielding just about 4%. It’s gone up enormously,” he said. “If you think about the real yield, which a lot of people in the bond market focus on, it’s probably not a bad place to hide out.”

The 2-year rate started 2022 trading at around 0.73%. Wednesday’s move puts it 328 basis points (3.28 percentage points) above that level.

 

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Rochdi Rais

Rochdi Rais is the Fractional Head of Growth and financial and legal writer at USA Herald. He has been writing and editing financial, legal and U.S. news for years with over +4000 articles published during his career.

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