- First, the object’s retrograde trajectory aligns within five degrees of the ecliptic plane — a 0.2% likelihood.
- Second, unlike the behavior of familiar comets whose geometry creates the illusion of a sunward jet, 3I/ATLAS repeatedly exhibited a true sunward anti-tail in July, August, and early November — an impossibility under standard models.
- Third, its nucleus carries a mass a million times larger than 1I/ʻOumuamua and a thousand times larger than 2I/Borisov, yet moves faster than both, placing the odds of such an interstellar visitor at under 0.1%.
- Fourth, its arrival was timed so precisely that it passed near Mars, Venus, and Jupiter while remaining unobservable from Earth at its closest approach to the Sun — a 0.005% probability.
- Fifth, spectroscopy revealed a gas plume dominated by nickel over iron, resembling industrially manufactured nickel alloys rather than anything observed in natural comets.
- Sixth, the plume contains only four percent water by mass, an extraordinarily low content for a comet.
- Seventh, it displays extreme negative polarization unseen in any other known comet, including Borisov.
- Eighth, it entered the solar system from the same region of sky where the famous “Wow! Signal” originated in 1977.
- Ninth, near perihelion, it brightened faster than any known comet and appeared bluer than the Sun.
- Tenth, its sunlight-heated surface should not be able to produce the massive sunward and anti-solar jets we observe without requiring an impossibly large surface area.
- Eleventh, its non-gravitational acceleration near perihelion required it to evaporate at least thirteen percent of its mass, yet preliminary imagery shows the object intact.
- And now, twelfth, the jets maintain stable orientation across a million kilometers in multiple directions despite the object’s measured rotation rate.
Taken together, these anomalies do not prove anything on their own. But collectively, they form the most unusual observational profile ever recorded for an interstellar visitor. Loeb’s Loeb Scale — a ranking system he devised to quantify how strongly an object deviates from natural expectations — currently places 3I/ATLAS at 4+, meaning “highly anomalous.”
“If the measured speed and mass flux of the jets are inconsistent with warming by sunlight of a natural comet, then I will raise the Loeb Scale rank to a higher value than 4,” Loeb writes. “The rank will reach a value of 10 if there is evidence for new objects near Earth or Mars that are related to 3IATLAS.”
He has not yet updated the ranking in light of the new jet orientation data and is waiting for imminent measurements of the jets’ speed and mass flux.
If those measurements align with natural comet physics, he will reduce the score. But if they do not, he has stated openly that he will raise the scale beyond 4, potentially toward 10 — a score he reserves for an object with “evidence of technological activity near Earth or Mars.” In that sense, the stakes of this next data window could not be higher.
There is also a growing public frustration that cannot be ignored. During the recent government shutdown, NASA captured HiRISE images of 3I/ATLAS on October 2 and 3. NASA has released nothing. Now that the government is reopened, NASA has posted new images of a Martian dune field to its website — proving the pipeline is functioning — but still no HiRISE images of 3I/ATLAS.
Scientists, journalists, and the public have the right to see the data that may clarify whether this object is natural, exotic, or something unprecedented in the record of astronomy. When the only high-resolution images of the most anomalous interstellar object ever observed remain locked behind institutional silence, trust erodes. That silence becomes part of the story.
As 3I/ATLAS recedes from the Sun and moves toward its December 19 Closest approach to Earth window, more data will arrive — from radar, spectroscopy, photometry, and deep-stacked imagery. The jet dynamics, the rotation period, the mass loss, and the composition will all be re-measured. Right now, we are standing in the narrow gap between what we know and what we fear we do not yet understand. The next few weeks may determine which way that balance breaks.
