Belarusian investigators claim Tikhanouskaya’s imprisoned husband has direct ties to the mercenaries, which points to an obvious attempt by the regime to tie Tikhanouskaya to Moscow, an allegation she has flatly denied.
Multiple reasons have been cited for Lukashenko’s fall in popularity. For one, Lukashenko has had a tepid response towards COVID-19 and has subsequently contracted the virus as a result. Furthermore, many Belarussians feel that Lukashenko’s reign has begun to wane, signaling the need for fresh leadership.
There is a lack of reliable polling data to predict an outcome for the upcoming election since the Lukashenko regime tightly controls all polling. In a recent poll released by a state-controlled TV station, Lukashenko is victorious with 72.3% of the vote. A single opposition-leaning poll suggests the elections will go to a second round.
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