Harris Holds Slight Lead Over Trump Post-Democratic National Convention

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When removing Oliver and Stein from the race, however, Harris still keeps her lead over Trump. Though it drops from 49% to 48%. The former president, on the other hand, sees a slight bump in support, taking him from 47% to 48%.

These new findings from Quinnipiac University remain consistent with other polls showing third-party candidates pose a greater threat to Trump’s presidential aspirations than to Harris’.

When further breaking down the numbers, it’s revealed that Harris has greater in-party support than her Republican rival. Today, 98% of Democrats are backing the vice president, while 94% of GOP members support Trump.

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Independents, on the other hand, are more of a mixed bag. 45% are in favor of Harris, while another 45% are behind the former president. The remaining 10% of Independent voters could therefore be pivotal in taking either the current vice president or Trump across the finish line in November.

Unlike previous White House elections, this one has seen a notable gender gap. Harris leads with women voters by double digits. Trump, meanwhile, performs far better with male voters than female voters.