FOLLOW US

And More September 18, 2022 2 mins read

The Fed Could Cut Rates Aggressively if a Recession Materializes, Says JPMorgan

And More ı By Rochdi Rais

0 Comments

JPMorgan

In the same way that the Federal Reserve hiked interest rates in 2022, it could do the exact opposite in 2023 and cut rates, according to JPMorgan.

However, the move is only likely to happen if a deep economic recession materializes and corporate earnings plummet, JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic said in a Wednesday note. 

The Fed has been on an aggressive rate hike path so far this year, with another outsized 75-basis-point increase expected on Wednesday. That would push the federal funds rate to a range of 3.0% to 3.25% by the end of the day, a far cry from its range at the start of the year of 0% to 0.25%.

"Many Americans are feeling the pain, and consumer confidence continues to drop. While these storm clouds build on the horizon, even the best and brightest economists are split as to whether these could evolve into a major economic storm or something much less severe," Dimon said in prepared testimony.

A key factor to watch is if the unemployment rate rises, as it has consistently stayed below the 4% mark since December. The rate recently nudged higher to 3.7% in August from 3.5% in July.

"The decline in earnings could become more significant if the unemployment rate starts moving up materially and a protracted or deep recession takes place," Kolanovic said. But such a scenario doesn't mean investors should ditch stocks because the Fed could return to its years-long practice of easing financial conditions, according to the note.

"But even in this adverse scenario, we believe that the Fed would be cutting rates by more than is currently priced in for 2023, thus backstopping equity markets and inducing higher P/E multiples," he added. 

Kolanovic ultimately believes those rate cuts could accelerate considerably if economic strength begins to deteriorate. 

 

 

Previous Article

The Crypto Bear Market Could Last Longer if Bitcoin Breakdown Below $20,000, Says Fairlead Strategies

Read More
2773 Posts

Rochdi Rais

Rochdi Rais is the Head of Growth and financial and legal writer at USA Herald. He has been writing and editing financial, legal and U.S. news for years with over +4000 articles published during his career.

Discussion

No comments yet. Be the first to join the discussion!

Don’t Miss It
America October 29, 2026 Tennessee Killer Escapes; Police Cite Five-Hour Alert Delay By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 29, 2026 Brewers Beat Rays to Win First World Series Title By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 29, 2026 DHS Data Leak Exposes 41,000 Workers and Sensitive ICE Operations By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 28, 2026
Wagmor Puppy Laundering Allegations Target Celebrity-Favored…

A dog rescue organization embraced by celebrities including Ellen DeGeneres,…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 28, 2026
NLRB Memphis Subregional Office Closure Shifts…

The National Labor Relations Board is closing its Memphis subregional…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 28, 2026
Reported FEC Cyberattack Disrupts Filings Before…

WASHINGTON — A reported cyberattack forced the Federal Election Commission…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 28, 2026
Spain Train Crash Kills at Least…

At least 68 people were killed Wednesday when a Spanish…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 28, 2026
Miyoko Plant Butter Recall Sparks Food…

A plant-based butter product distributed across 10 states is being…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 28, 2026
Pentagon Ketamine Contract: $41M Deal Under…

WASHINGTON — The Pentagon has awarded a Singapore-based pharmaceutical company…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 28, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro in Florida: Visa Approved,…

MIAMI — Brazilian Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro arrived in Florida on…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 28, 2026
CDC Warns Drug-Resistant Germs Threaten Modern…

WASHINGTON — Drug-resistant germs are causing millions of infections and…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 27, 2026
Walmart Great Value Fruit Cocktail Recall…

A canned fruit product sold at Walmart is under recall…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 27, 2026
Ted Bundy New Murder Case: DNA…

More than five decades after a Utah teenager was found…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 27, 2026
AT&T Settlement Payments: When Customers Could…

Millions of AT&T customers affected by two major data breaches…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 27, 2026
USAA Auto Insurance Rates Drop 7%…

Nearly half a million Florida drivers insured through USAA are…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 27, 2026
Susan Saint James, Emmy-Winning Star of…

Susan Saint James, the Emmy-winning actress whose spirited performances in…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 27, 2026
Trump and Nicki Minaj Make a…

OPINION | Trump and Nicki Minaj turned a Michigan campaign…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 27, 2026
FAMU Shooting: Boy, 15, Faces 11…

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — A 15-year-old boy faces 11 attempted murder…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 27, 2026
New Trump Rape Allegation Detailed in…

WASHINGTON — A new rape allegation against President Donald Trump…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 27, 2026
Ariel School UFO: 62 Children and…

The Ariel School UFO case began with children returning from…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 26, 2026
Thomas Markle: Investigation Continues as Meghan’s Estranged…

CEBU, Philippines — Thomas Markle, the retired Hollywood lighting director…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 27, 2026
Guidewire to Buy Hyperexponential in $2.1…

Insurance technology provider Guidewire is making a major move into…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 27, 2026
Savannah Chrisley Announces Pregnancy and Engagement:…

Reality TV star Savannah Chrisley is preparing for a new…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 27, 2026
Susan Saint James Dies at 80:…

Susan Saint James, the Emmy-winning actress celebrated for her roles…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 26, 2026
European Protests Spread Across Major Cities…

MILAN, Italy — European Protests over rising living costs, housing…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 26, 2026
Gas Hits $4.28 a Gallon as…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Eight days before Americans vote in the…

By – Derek Johnson
America October 26, 2026
FORTRESS America: Bases Prepare for 90-Day…

Under FORTRESS America, the Pentagon is preparing major U.S. military…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 25, 2026
Christina Applegate Reveals Multiple Sclerosis Misdiagnosis,…

LOS ANGELES — Christina Applegate, the Emmy-winning actor known for…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 23, 2026
Humana and UnitedHealthcare Cancel Medicare Advantage…

Nearly 1 million Americans are facing a shake-up in their…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 22, 2026
Pope Leo XIV Needs No Further…

VATICAN CITY — Pope Leo XIV will not require additional…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 21, 2026
News Overload Can Fuel Anxiety and…

News keeps people informed about wars, political conflict, public safety…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 21, 2026
Children’s Mercy Insurance Coverage Changes: Kansas…

Children’s Mercy Hospital in Kansas City will no longer participate…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 21, 2026
Texas Trans Texts Spark Election Propaganda…

News Analysis | Texas voters began casting early ballots Monday,…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 23, 2026
Connor Hellebuyck Traded to New Jersey…

The New Jersey Devils have made a major move to…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 19, 2026
Information Ecosystem: Five Tools to Detect…

The information ecosystem is increasingly vulnerable to misinformation. There are…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 19, 2026
An Airman Died After a Pregame…

By Michallie K. Harrison | Opinion Tech. Sgt. Ian Patterson’s…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 16, 2026
NFL Player $300M Hip Surgery Lawsuit…

Athletes bet their bodies on surgeons the way pilots bet…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 16, 2026
Russian Drone Strikes Hit American Businesses…

Russian drone strikes against American-linked businesses in Ukraine are raising…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 11, 2026
AP Poll Top 25: Georgia Claims…

Georgia has reclaimed the top spot in the AP Poll…

By – Rachel Moore

No posts found.

No posts found.

Signup for the USA Herald
exclusive Newsletter