Wealth Tax Showdown in California: Why Billionaires May Flee and What It Means for State Revenues

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Calif.’s richest residents could be slapped with a ‘Billionaire Tax’ if unions get their way | New York Post

A Ballot Fight 

Despite the growing concern, the Wealth Tax proposal is far from guaranteed. Supporters must collect nearly 900,000 signatures to place the measure on the California ballot. Even so, critics argue that the mere possibility of passage is already doing damage.

In progressive strongholds such as California, taxing the rich has become a popular solution for funding expansive public programs. However, opponents caution that this strategy only works if the wealthy remain in place. Once they leave, the tax base shrinks dramatically.

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Lessons for New York and Other High-Tax States

The California debate is being closely watched in New York, where political leaders have floated similar ideas. New York City Mayor Mamdani has proposed raising billions through higher taxes on corporations and wealthy individuals to fund a slate of expansive social programs. Meanwhile, New York Governor Kathy Hochul—who once opposed a wealth tax—has signaled growing openness to the idea.