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And More December 15, 2022 2 mins read

Inflation threat is Fading out Quickly – and the Fed should Halt its interest-rate hikes, SaysJeffrey Gundlach 

And More ı By Rochdi Rais

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Jerome Powell Chair of The Federal Reserve of the United States

Billionaire investor Jeffrey Gundlach warned that the Federal Reserve should stop its interest-rate hikes, saying the inflation threat is vanishing. 

"I think there has been some progress on inflation," the DoubleLine Capital CEO said during a Wednesday CNBC interview. "Nobody's really talking about all of these runaway price increases anymore. With the economy weakening, I think the inflation rate is going to fall faster than most economists do," he added. 

Gundlach's comments come after the Fed delivered an interest-rate hike of 50 basis-points Wednesday as it continues trying to bring down inflation toward the 2% official target, from 7.1% in November. The central bank has increased its benchmark rate by 425 basis points this year to 4.25%-4.5%, the highest level since 2007.

The moves dashed any investor hope that the central bank will pivot from its aggressive policy amid growing recession risks. Gundlach pointed to an inverted yield curve in the bond market as a flashing sign of an oncoming economic downturn. 

"I think they should not do any more hikes after today," Gundlach said.

In Gundlach's view, the Fed needs to be more transparent about its inflation target, saying he doesn't think the central bank actually wants to drive it down to 2%.

"I secretly believe the Fed's inflation target is more like 3% now. If we get down to 2%, I don't see any way it's going to stop there. It would just be so much momentum to the downside [...] that I just don't know if they really want to go that far," he said.

"They just don't always articulate the moving of the target because that makes them look weak, it makes them look indecisive," he continued.

He also stated the Fed will be "highly encouraged" by positive inflation data over the next six months, and predicted the pace of price increases will fall to 4.1% by next June.

 

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Rochdi Rais

Rochdi Rais is the Fractional Head of Growth and financial and legal writer at USA Herald. He has been writing and editing financial, legal and U.S. news for years with over +4000 articles published during his career.

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