FOLLOW US

America February 28, 2020 5 mins read

Democratic Candidates in Danger of Losing Home States

America ı By Rhett Wilkinson

0 Comments

Elizabeth Warren may lose her home state, Massachusetts

Super Tuesday may be so unkind to Sens. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), they may not even win their home state primaries, The Hill reported.

If Klobuchar and Warren lose their home states, it could mean the end of their presidential campaigns, and polls offer that the candidates could at least be in tough fights with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who leads in the delegate count in the Democratic presidential race.

A WBUR poll put out Friday in Massachusetts showed Warren behind Sanders by eight points with Super Tuesday just around the corner, on Tuesday.

Klobuchar leads in Minnesota, but Sanders is just behind.

A current poll by Minnesota Public Radio and the Star-Tribune revealed Klobuchar at 29 percent, with Sanders at 23 percent. Warren was the only other candidate to take more than 10 percent.

“(Klobuchar) needs to worry about Sen. Bernie Sanders,” said Kathryn Pearson, associate professor of political science at the University of Minnesota.

Neither Klobuchar nor Warren has offered they will stop running if they don’t win their home states, but defeats would be humiliating.

Klobuchar was asked at a CNN town hall Wednesday if Minnesota is a “must-win” for her.

“No,” Klobuchar said.

“I never set litmus tests, but I know I'm going to win Minnesota, so that's not a factor,” she said.

Asked if they’re concerned about giving up their home state, the Warren campaign talked about its representatives in Massachusetts, which include state legislators Sen. Ed Markey (D) and Reps. Joe Kennedy III (D) and Ayanna Pressley (D), besides local officials.

Sanders took the Minnesota caucuses in a major victory over future nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016, winning 61.6 percent of the vote. The state has changed to a primary voting structure, which will probably boost turnout and assist the home-state senator.

Warren has another home state to be concerned with on Tuesday – she was born in Oklahoma. That state hasn’t seen many polls. However, a Sooner Survey from last week showed former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg at 20 percent, ahead of Sanders by six points and former Vice President Joe Biden by eight.

A News 9-News On 6 poll conducted from Feb. 17-21 had Biden ahead with 21.2 percent, with Bloomberg next at 19.8 percent. In both polls, Warren sat in single digits.

David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, said Warren has some reason for concerns in Massachusetts, which borders Vermont, Sanders’ own home state. He said that many of those voting on Tuesday are probably progressives.

“Klobuchar looks like she’s not quite out of the woods but she’s leading” in Minnesota polls, he said. “Warren’s situation is vastly different. Part of the reason for that is because progressives are a larger share of the Massachusetts vote and Bernie Sanders is the front-runner.”

Sanders will also fight for primary delegates in his own home state, though the race in Vermont isn’t supposed to be close. FiveThirtyEight this week predicted his odds of winning his home state at 99 percent.

A poll this month by Braun Research and Vermont Public Radio indicated Sanders at 51 percent, former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 13 percent, and the rest of the candidates less than 10 percent.

Losing a home state can be horrible for a candidate for president.

“I think the repercussions for either Klobuchar or Warren not winning their home states are pretty severe,” Democratic strategist Brad Bannon said. “It’s hard for me to imagine a situation where either of them lose their states and still win the candidacy. I think losing your home state is a deal breaker if you’re running for president.”

Not winning your home state could make it especially difficult to fundraise post-Super Tuesday, once primaries in bigger swing states such as Michigan or Arizona come up, Bannon said. That less amount of funds could compel a candidate to leave the primary contest before the Democratic National Convention in July.

“I’m sure they’d like to, but I think practically it would be impossible for them … to raise enough money to compete,” Bennon said. “If they lose their home state I think they’re forced to suspend their candidacies because I don’t see where they’ll get the money to sustain themselves.”

After many defeats in 2016, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) said he believed he would carry his home state before its March 15 primary.

Instead, he lost mightily to then-candidate Donald Trump, coming up 18 points short of him. Rubio then ended his bid for the Republican nomination.

Then-Ohio Gov. John Kasich, did beat Trump in his home state — the same day Rubio had his fateful defeat. Kasich continued to campaign until May 3.

Bloomberg and Biden will experience their own home state elections in April, if either are still running. Buttigieg could enjoy home state support in May.

Previous Article

Project Manager Norm Keating to file lawsuit against former clients for false allegations

Read More
22 Posts

Rhett Wilkinson

Rhett Wilkinson, described by a rival community newspaper as a "big-city cousin," has won 12 journalism awards over just four years of applying for them. His work has been seen in USA TODAY, ESPN, Pew and the U.S. News & World Report. Rhett has also been successful as pro se in law on multiple occasions.

Discussion

No comments yet. Be the first to join the discussion!

Don’t Miss It
America November 04, 2026 PAI Buys Elemis, Betting on U.S. Growth and Digital Beauty Sales By – Rachel Moore
America November 04, 2026 The Midterms Gave This Veteran Faith in America Again By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 04, 2026 CVS To Split In 2, Unwinding Nearly a Decade-Old Healthcare Merger By – Tyler Brooks
America November 4, 2026
Inés Gómez Mont Arrested by ICE…

MIAMI —  Inés Gómez Mont, a former television personality who…

By – Jackie Allen
America November 4, 2026
El-Sayed Wins Michigan Senate Race in…

Progressive favorite Abdul El-Sayed has defeated Republican Mike Rogers in…

By – Tyler Brooks
America November 4, 2026
Democrats’ Senate Takeover Sends Shockwaves Through…

President Donald Trump urged voters to imagine he was on…

By – Tyler Brooks
America November 4, 2026
California Landlord Agrees to $28M Settlement…

What California Renters Need to Know Essex Property Trust agrees…

By – Samuel Lopez
America November 4, 2026
Mississippi Senate Race on a Knife’s…

The mississippi senate race remained locked in a razor-thin contest…

By – Tyler Brooks
International November 4, 2026
Suspects in Violent Barcelona Rolex Snatch…

Two men police say tore a €50,000 Rolex from an…

By – Derek Johnson
America November 4, 2026
Toyota Insurance Sues Farmers Over Alleged…

Key Revelations Behind the Lawsuit Toyota alleges Farmers is violating…

By – Samuel Lopez
America November 4, 2026
Alaska and Mississippi Senate Races Still…

Alaska and Mississippi Senate races remain too close to call.…

By – Derek Johnson
America November 4, 2026
Democrats Win Congress: Voters Hand Trump…

Democrats have won the House and Senate, flipping seats in…

By – Derek Johnson
America November 4, 2026
Hakeem Jeffries and the Power of…

WASHINGTON — Hakeem Jeffries is poised to become the first…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 4, 2026
Freedom for Whom? El-Sayed, Hinojosa and…

El-Sayed and Hinojosa have given America two victories that belong…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 4, 2026
America’s 60-Day Danger Zone After the…

WASHINGTON — Americans voted to change the balance of power…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 4, 2026
Nuremberg Trials Part 2: The 2026…

WASHINGTON — The 2026 midterms have delivered a political earthquake.…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 4, 2026
Keisha Lance Bottoms Just Broke a…

For 250 years, the United States has called itself a…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 3, 2026
Erika Eleniak Turns OnlyFans Success Into…

LOS ANGELES — Erika Eleniak is proving that life after…

By – Jackie Allen
America November 3, 2026
Soft War? Trump Orders Limited U.S.…

WASHINGTON — November 3, 2026 — President Donald Trump described…

By – Jackie Allen
America November 3, 2026
Supreme Court Takes Up Colorado Preschool…

What the Justices Must Decide Colorado says every publicly funded…

By – Samuel Lopez
America November 3, 2026
Trump Weighs Iran Strikes as Carlson…

WASHINGTON — U.S. officials have warned regional allies to prepare…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 3, 2026
China May Be Making Weapons-Grade Uranium…

China has likely resumed producing weapons-grade uranium after a pause…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America November 2, 2026
Adam Robinson Among Nine Killed in…

A Texas technology entrepreneur, his wife, their two young children…

By – Tyler Brooks
America November 2, 2026
Protective Acquires Obsidian, Adding Specialty Insurance…

Protective Life Corporation has completed its acquisition of Obsidian Insurance…

By – Tyler Brooks
America November 2, 2026
NASA Telescope Will Fall Back to…

What to Watch as Swift Comes Down NASA says the…

By – Samuel Lopez
America November 2, 2026
NTSB Says Learjet Reported Ice And…

What Investigators Know So Far The Learjet crew reported light…

By – Samuel Lopez
America November 2, 2026
WeRide Insurance Partnership Brings Allianz and…

WeRide is strengthening the foundation beneath its international autonomous driving…

By – Tyler Brooks
America November 2, 2026
California Botox Doctor Gets 15 Years…

What the Medicare Records Revealed A California doctor billed more…

By – Samuel Lopez
America October 31, 2026
A New 2026 Twin Study Revives…

Three Takeaways Identical twins and triplets were separated through adoption…

By – Samuel Lopez
America October 28, 2026
Michigan Double-Digit Health Insurance Hikes Set…

Michigan residents are facing another costly year for health coverage,…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 28, 2026
Miyoko Plant Butter Recall Sparks Food…

A plant-based butter product distributed across 10 states is being…

By – Rachel Moore
America October 28, 2026
Pentagon Ketamine Contract: $41M Deal Under…

WASHINGTON — The Pentagon has awarded a Singapore-based pharmaceutical company…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 28, 2026
CDC Warns Drug-Resistant Germs Threaten Modern…

WASHINGTON — Drug-resistant germs are causing millions of infections and…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 31, 2026
Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson Reportedly End…

Bill Belichick and Jordon Hudson reportedly ended their romantic relationship…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 29, 2026
Brewers Beat Rays to Win First…

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — The Milwaukee Brewers won their first…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 23, 2026
Connor Hellebuyck Traded to New Jersey…

The New Jersey Devils have made a major move to…

By – Tyler Brooks
America October 19, 2026
Information Ecosystem: Five Tools to Detect…

The information ecosystem is increasingly vulnerable to misinformation. There are…

By – Jackie Allen
America October 19, 2026
An Airman Died After a Pregame…

By Michallie K. Harrison | Opinion Tech. Sgt. Ian Patterson’s…

By – Michallie K Harrison
America October 16, 2026
NFL Player $300M Hip Surgery Lawsuit…

Athletes bet their bodies on surgeons the way pilots bet…

By – Tyler Brooks

No posts found.

No posts found.

Signup for the USA Herald
exclusive Newsletter