The Fed is expected to hike rates further and drag the global economy into a recession, according to Bloomberg’s survey of economists.
That comes amid expectations for another aggressive Fed rate increase next week, as central bankers scramble to get a lid on sky-high inflation.
The survey of 40 economists found that the Fed is widely expected to go for a fourth consecutive rate hike of 75 basis points Wednesday at the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting. It’s expected to be followed by a half-point rate hike in December and two quarter-point increases in early 2023.
That would bringing the fed funds target range to 4.75% to 5% from the current rate of 3% to 3.25%.
Fed officials will be skittish about a pivoting monetary policy until inflation shows clear signs of easing, economists said.
That has raised concern that the hawkishness is going overboard, with 75% of surveyed economists seeing the Fed triggering a US recession within the next two years, and two-thirds expecting a global recession in that time.