Economists disagree about risk of another recession

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Many economists are warning that the U.S. could dip back into recession if Congress doesn’t roll out more stimulus. However, others think the economy will continue to recover even if no new stimulus measures are introduced. Still, others war

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n that the very efforts designed to pull the economy out of a recession could spark another financial crisis.

What’s clear from the wide range of projected outcomes is that it’s anyone’s guess what will happen next, with or without more stimulus.

Another financial crisis?

Deutsche Bank economist Peter Hooper said in a recent report that the global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic has been going much faster than he had expected “in the gloomy days of early May.” His team projected that the global economy had recovered about half of the GDP it lost during the pandemic and that it wouldn’t reach pre-pandemic levels until the middle of next year.

Despite that long projection, that’s still two quarters earlier than the timeframe his team was previously forecasting. However, he also said the price of seeking stability in the short term could be steep over the long term

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Jacob Wolinsky
Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk.com, a popular value investing and hedge fund focused investment website. Prior to ValueWalk, Jacob was VP of Business Development at SumZero. Prior to SumZero, Jacob worked as an equity analyst first at a micro-cap focused private equity firm, followed by a stint at a smid cap focused research shop. Jacob lives with his wife and four kids in Passaic NJ. Full Disclosure: I do not purchase any equities anymore to avoid even the appearance of a conflict of interest and because at times I may receive grey areas of insider information. I have a few existing holdings from years ago, but I have sold off most of the equities and now only purchase mutual funds and some ETFs. I also own a few grams of Gold and Silver.