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And More December 29, 2022 2 mins read

Tesla Stock Could Plunge 60% If Its Valued Like a Traditional Automaker, Says CIO

And More ı By Rochdi Rais

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Elon Musk CEO Of Tesla Motors

Should Tesla be valued like a traditional automaker or a tech company?

That question has been at the center of a years-long debate between investors and skeptics of the electric vehicle maker, as bullish investors focus on its EV innovation, self-driving tech, and forays into solar and energy storage as reasons why Tesla deserves a premium valuation to traditional automakers.

What’s for sure is: if Tesla ever is valued like Ford or General Motors, it has a lot more room to decline, according to Greenwich Wealth Management chief investment officer Vahan Janjigian.

He told CNBC on Wednesday that even after plunging more than 60% in 2022, Tesla is still valued at about eight times more than Ford and General Motors — despite selling millions of fewer cars each year.

"Tesla I think is still tremendously overvalued despite its plunge this year... I think Tesla should be selling at a higher multiple than [Ford and General Motors] because it has much better growth prospects and they dominate the EV market. But this multiple is way too high," Janjigian said.

"Tesla is currently selling about 1 million cars per year. That number is going to grow. When I look at Ford, which is selling approximately 5 to 6 million cars per year. I think Tesla will get up there, so therefore under that argument I think it should be worth at least as much as Ford, maybe twice as much as Ford, maybe 3x as much as Ford. But 8x as much as Ford? I think that's too high," Janjigian said.

If Tesla plunged to a valuation that was three times as much as Ford, it would be worth $135 billion. That would represent a 65% slump from current levels, and an 89% fall from its peak valuation of more than $1.2 trillion.

"Are they going to be the only car seller in the world? Are they going to put all these other automobile manufacturers out of business? If that's the case then [they should be valued higher]. But Ford is also making EVs. GM is making EVs. Every single manufacturer now is trying to grow their EV business, and they have a lot of years of experience behind them... so I think that they will eventually catch up [to Tesla]," Janjigian said. 

 

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Rochdi Rais

Rochdi Rais is the Head of Growth and financial and legal writer at USA Herald. He has been writing and editing financial, legal and U.S. news for years with over +4000 articles published during his career.

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