FOLLOW US

And More November 3, 2022 2 mins read

The Fed Could Let Economic Slowdown Until Around 2025, Says Morgan Stanley’s Global Chief Economist

And More ı By Rochdi Rais

0 Comments

Jerome Powell Chair of The Federal Reserve of the United States

The Federal Reserve could protract any economic slowdown until around 2025, if forced to, in its efforts to tame inflation down to its 2% target level, according to Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's global chief economist.

Carpenter said Thursday that the US central bank's pivot towards more gradual tightening could mean it now favors curbing exorbitant prices over a more extended period of time, rather than doing so by triggering a short but dramatic recession.

"They said that they want to tighten policy, to be restrictive so that inflation gets back to target, but then they said 'over time' and I think it's fair to ask what does that mean," he told CNBC's 'Halftime Report'. "The last time they did their projections, 'over time' meant at least three years for inflation to get back to their target."

"They're serious about bringing inflation down, but I also think they're trying to be clear that they're not trying to crash things so that everything comes down next year," Carpenter added. "They want to squeeze things enough so that we get the slowdown, but then they're willing to let that slowdown happen over a long period of time."

The Fed has hiked interest rates by 300 basis points during its last four meetings in a bid to bring down soaring prices – but inflation has stood stubbornly high, hitting 8.2% in September.

At his latest press conference earlier this week, chair Jerome Powell signaled the central bank would now shift to a 'slower for longer' approach to rate hikes.

"It will become appropriate to slow the pace of increases as we approach the level of interest rates that will be sufficiently restrictive to bring inflation down to our 2% goal," he said.

That suggests it'll go for a 50 basis point rate hike at its next meeting in September, according to Carpenter. 

"Our baseline view is 50, but that baseline view is very much dependent on the data we get [on Friday]," Carpenter said. Morgan Stanley is expecting the US to have added around 180,000 jobs in October.

"We'll get another one before December, if that's another step down then I think we'll get 50 basis points," he added. "That will tell them we are seeing some slowing."

 

 

Previous Article

Twitter Is at Risk of Losing its “Magic,”, Says Former Executive at the Social Platform

Read More
2772 Posts

Rochdi Rais

Rochdi Rais is the Head of Growth and financial and legal writer at USA Herald. He has been writing and editing financial, legal and U.S. news for years with over +4000 articles published during his career.

Discussion

No comments yet. Be the first to join the discussion!

Don’t Miss It
America September 14, 2026
Bamboo Insurance IPO Eyes $3.24 Billion Valuation in Bold Market Bet
By – Rihem Akkouche
America September 14, 2026
Abbott $384M Settlement Closes Chapter on Tainted Formula Scandal
By – Rihem Akkouche
America September 14, 2026
Bob Mackie Death Ends an Era of Sequins and Showbiz Glamour
By – Rihem Akkouche
And More September 14, 2026
Sydney Sweeney and Scooter Braun Celebrate a Year of Romance
By – Jackie Allen
America September 14, 2026
AI Safety Warnings Mount. Trump Calls It a ‘Conspiracy’
By – Michallie Harrison
America September 13, 2026
Lawyers Clash Over 12.5% Cut of…

Key Takeaways Class attorneys behind the $2.8 billion Blue Cross…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
AI Whistleblowers:  Warnings  Coming From Inside…

AI Whistleblowers are increasingly sounding the alarm about the speed…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 13, 2026
New Mexico Lawyer Fined $5,000 After…

Key Takeaways A New Mexico defense attorney was held in…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
China Expands Legal Reach Abroad as…

3 Key Takeaways China is expanding laws that can reach…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Bayer’s $7.25 Billion Roundup Settlement Faces…

Key Takeaways Bayer’s Monsanto unit will ask a Missouri judge…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Tylenol Maker and Pharmacy Chains Ask…

By Samuel López | USA Herald Tylenol maker Kenvue and…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Tylenol Maker and Pharmacy Chains Ask…

By Samuel López | USA Herald Tylenol maker Kenvue and…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Serena Williams’ Daughters Make History as…

Serena Williams has built one of the most decorated careers…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 13, 2026
KJ Biermann Faces Seven Felony Charges…

KJ Biermann, the 15-year-old son of “Real Housewives of Atlanta”…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 13, 2026
DOJ Uses Alien Terrorist Removal Court…

Key Takeaways The Justice Department has completed the first removal in…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Federal Judge Stays Discovery In Lawsuit…

Key Takeaways A federal magistrate judge stayed discovery while the…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Court Finds First Amendment Violation in…

Key Takeaways The Superior Court found that unexplained sealing violated…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 13, 2026
Team USA Reaches Women’s Basketball World…

BERLIN — Team USA advanced to the FIBA Women’s Basketball…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 13, 2026
In-House Attorneys’ Group Takes Rival to…

Key Takeaways The Association of Corporate Counsel has filed suit…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 12, 2026
Duke University Ends Reginaldo Howard Scholarship…

DURHAM, N.C. — Duke University has discontinued a decades-old merit…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 12, 2026
Bali Tourist Deported and Banned for…

A Bali vacation ended with an Australian tourist being deported…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 11, 2026
$LAPTOP Meme Coin Crashes After Hunter…

Hunter Biden’s $LAPTOP cryptocurrency suffered a dramatic collapse shortly after…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 11, 2026
Open Secure AI Alliance Forms as…

The Open Secure AI Alliance has brought together a broad…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 11, 2026
Open Secure AI Alliance Forms as…

The Open Secure AI Alliance has brought together a broad…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 11, 2026
Skywatcher: ExoMoon Discovery May Reveal First…

An ExoMoon discovery may have given astronomers their first confirmed…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 11, 2026
Skywatchers: Moonshadow Creates Dramatic Blood Moon…

A Moonshadow transformed the night sky Aug. 27 as the…

By – Jackie Allen
America September 11, 2026
Congress Has Seen the Evidence on…

Key Takeaways Lawmakers with security clearances, including Rep. Nancy Mace,…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 11, 2026
Mexican Food Company Announces California Layoffs…

Key Takeaways Ruiz Foods is cutting 176 jobs at its…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 11, 2026
Sam Bankman-Fried Seeks Supreme Court Review…

By Samuel López | USA Herald Sam Bankman-Fried is taking…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 10, 2026
41% of Lawyers Say Legal Careers…

Key Takeaways More than 41% of surveyed lawyers say the…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 10, 2026
Anthropic Says It Caught Scientists Trying…

Key Takeaways Anthropic’s newest threat intelligence report details five case…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 10, 2026
Wrongful Death Lawsuit Against Energy Drink…

Key takeaways The latest reported order paused the family’s lawsuit…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 9, 2026
Ambient AI Could Be the Next…

Key Takeaways Ambient AI can turn conversations into draft records,…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 5, 2026
Georgian National Indicted in Money Laundering…

By Samuel López | USA Herald A federal grand jury…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 1, 2026
DOJ Drops Hammer On Kansas School…

By Samuel López | USA Herald The U.S. Department of…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 11, 2026
Bears and RB Swift $33.75M Extension…

Sometimes the best deals get done before the clock even…

By – Tyler Brooks
America September 6, 2026
Travis Kelce-Backed Club Car Wash Faces…

By Samuel López | USA Herald A fast-growing car wash…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 6, 2026
‘DWTS’ Gleb Savchenko Lists $1.4 Million…

By Samuel López | USA Herald Factual Background Gleb Savchenko…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 4, 2026
Trump Calls Tiger Woods DUI Plea…

In This Report Tiger Woods accepted reduced charges and surrendered…

By – Samuel Lopez
America September 2, 2026
Clippers Fined $30M as NBA Drops…

A year-long investigation just landed on the Los Angeles Clippers…

By – Rihem Akkouche
America August 26, 2026
Tupac Shakur Murder Trial Moves to…

The Tupac Shakur murder trial will resume Thursday in Las…

By – Jackie Allen

No posts found.

No posts found.

Signup for the USA Herald
exclusive Newsletter